[Gasification] This is a gasification list!

[Kevin Chisholm]

Dear Bill

I would suggest that oil prices, and the reasons behind them, are very 
relevant to the Gasification List, in that a major factor in a decision 
install a gasification is the alternative cost of oil or gasoline for 
heat or power. Simply put, gasifiers will be much more common if oil 
goes to $200/bbl, than if it drops to $50 per bbl.

If oil stayed at the same relative price as other costs (labor, wood 
cost fuel , waste tipping fees, etc, ), then gasification facilities 
would retain their present level of attractiveness. However, if oil 
energy costs get "ahead of the pack", then it will be significantly more 
advantageous to install gasifier systems.

The Policies of the US Government are having a big impact on oil prices. 
That is not being critical, but rather, observational and 
opportunistic.. What anyone can see is that there is a "situation" in 
the Middle East such that oil prices are likely to go higher, and as a 
consequence, there is likely to be a wider application for gasifiers. 
However, dampening this opportunity is the possibility of a worldwide 
economic slowdown that could ease demand for oil, and consequently, we 
could expect a drop in oil price. This in turn would lessen the 
attractiveness of gasifier systems.

If this thread degenerated into US bashing, then for sure, it is 
off-topic and irrelevant to the Gasification List. However, if it simply 
seeks to understand oil price dynamics in the context of how they will 
impact on the economic attractiveness of gasifier installations, then I 
would suggest it is a relevant discussion.

Best wishes,

Kevin




Bill Klein wrote:
> Hello and greetings to each of you! 
>
> All this talk about Iraq and whether this or whether that is the reason, cause or result is neither here nor there. You are putting things in my INBOX under false colors, claiming your rant as something to do with DOE gasification projects and I'm stupid enough to fall for it. 
>
> Please take your rant, along with a soapbox, down to the park! 
>
> Let's get back on track and deal with gasifiers, gasification  and tar. This pseudo political stuff is just that: STUFF! 
>
> Very respectfully, 
>
> Bill Klein   
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